Joe Biden would handily prevail over President Donald J. Trump in a general election matchup in his home state, but his rivals for the Democratic presidential nomination would have a tough race on their hands against the incumbent.
The head-to-head projections come from a new poll of Delaware voters by Maryland-based Gonzales Research and Media Services, which showed the former vice president and long-time US Senator – who has never lost a Delaware election – would beat Trump 56% to 40%, earning a majority of the vote in every age group.
Strikingly, however, Trump was neck-in-neck with other leading Democrats vying for their party’s nomination:
Biden 56%, Trump 40%
Sanders 47%, Trump 46%
Warren 49%, Trump 46%
Buttigieg 50%, Trump 45%
Bloomberg 48, Trump 47%
No Republican has come close to winning Delaware since George H. W Bush took over 55 percent of the vote against Massachusetts Governor Michael Dukakis in 1988. Since then the Democrats have won every election handily including giving Hillary Clinton a 12-point margin over Trump in 2016.
The poll of 410 registered voters was conducted from January 16th through January 21st. The voters said they are likely to vote in the 2020 general election, and they were queried through live telephone interviews, utilizing both landline (35%) and cell phone (65%). The margin of error for the survey is plus or minus 5 percent.
President Trump’s approval rating in Delaware stands at 45 percent, which hues closely to recent national averages. The poll showed 51 percent of Delawareans disapprove of Trump, with 4 percent offering no opinion.
Coons most popular statewide official
According to the poll, 49 percent of Delaware voters approve of the job Governor John Carney is doing in Dover.
Fifty percent of voters approve of U.S. Senator Tom Carper’s performance.
Senator Chris Coons has the highest approval rating of the four officeholders in Delaware that were measured in this poll.
Congresswoman Lisa Blunt Rochester has the best positive approval ratio of the four for her performance in office: 49 percent approve/22 percent disapprove (2.2-to-1), with 29 percent offering no opinion.
Back to presidential politics
Other findings regarding the presidential campaign in the poll include:
Ninety-one percent of Republicans approve of the job Trump is doing, but 79% of Delaware Democrats disapprove, as do 50% of independents. By gender; 43% of women approve and 54% disapprove, while 48% of men approve of the job Donald Trump is doing and 47% disapprove.
Among African Americans in Delaware, only 12% approve and 87% disapprove of the job he is doing as president.
In the faceoff with Trump, Biden wins the black vote 9-to-1, but also keeps the white vote competitive, trailing by only 3 points. Further, Biden takes a majority of the vote in every age group.
Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren leads Trump, 49% to 46%. She captures 81% of Democrats, but is ahead with women by only 12 points (54%-42%) and trails with men by seven, 44% to 51%.
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders has a mere one point lead over Trump, 47% to 46%. Sanders appears to be surging in the Democratic nomination process, but is behind Trump in Delaware among general election independents (a very different strain from primary-participating independents), 43% to 46%. Further, Sanders is up with women by 11 points (53%-42%), but trails Trump among men by ten (41%-51%).